Insights

The strategic use of debt: a Threefold Capital perspective

Debt lifts the owners' return while an asset earns more than it costs, and cuts it faster when it does not. The series ends with who loses first, where a group's debt can sit, and the principles we hold.

General information only, not advice. Read the full note

Next update. The Reserve Bank's next decision on the cash rate is due on 3 November 2026. We will update the rates and figures in this article after it.

Two buyers each pay $2 million for the same business, one that produces $200,000 a year of cash before interest. The first pays with its owners' money. The second has its owners put in $300,000 and borrows the rest from a bank, a specialist lender and the person selling the business. If the business is sold five years later for what it cost, the first buyer's owners have earned 10.0% a year and the second's 21.3%. If it is sold for 30% less, the first buyer's owners still earn 4.5% a year. The second buyer's owners receive nothing from the sale, and the seller, who agreed to be repaid after the other two lenders, loses all $300,000 of its loan.

Nothing about the business differs between the two cases, only the way it was paid for. That alone decides who gains, who loses, and in what order.

This is the last of seven articles on how lending works in Australia, and the first to sit on the borrower's side of the table. It is written from the borrower's side, and its last section sets out the principles we hold, as views.

Fall in value that wipes out the owners at the sale when 85% of a $2 million purchase is borrowed
15%
Threefold Capital model
Extra money the owners must put in over five years to keep a loan of 70% of the price current, in the worst case
$560,000
Threefold Capital model
The least notice a bank that has adopted the Banking Code must give a small business not in default that it will not extend a loan not fully repaid by instalments
3 months
Banking Code of Practice

When debt adds value, and when it destroys it

A lender's return is fixed in advance. It receives its interest and its money back, and nothing more however well the business does, unless it has bargained for a share of the gain, as some mezzanine lenders do. The owners receive whatever is left. That difference is the whole of the arithmetic of leverage.

Our first model shows it with a hypothetical $2 million purchase of an established business, such as a trade distributor or an engineering firm, which produces $200,000 of cash a year before interest and is sold after five years for what it cost. Without debt, the owners earn 10.0% a year. If they borrow $900,000, 45% of the cost, from a bank at 7.5% interest only, the interest is $67,500 a year. The owners keep $132,500 a year on the $1,100,000 they put in, and their return rises to 12.0%. The business earns 2.5 percentage points more than the bank charges, and on $900,000 of borrowed money that is $22,500 a year, which adds about two points to the return on the owners' money. The rule behind the figures: the owners' return is the return on the whole investment, plus the gap between that return and the interest rate for every dollar borrowed per dollar of their own.

All of this is before tax. Interest on money borrowed to earn business income is generally deductible to the borrower, which lowers the cost of debt by the tax saved, while a dividend is not; dividend imputation, which passes company tax on to shareholders as franking credits, narrows that advantage at the shareholder level. Our models leave tax out, and the second takes its cash before interest, so it does not count the saving and overstates what the loan takes.

The table runs the same purchase at four levels of cash flow, from $100,000 a year to $250,000, and four levels of bank debt.

Illustrative model

Return on the owners' money a year, by the investment's cash flow and the share of the cost borrowed at 7.5%

Bank debt, share of the cost
Cash flow a year0%30%50%70%
$100,0005.0%3.9%2.5%−0.8%
$150,0007.5%7.5%7.5%7.5%
$200,00010.0%11.1%12.5%15.8%
$250,00012.5%14.6%17.5%24.2%

The purchase costs $2 million, so cash flow of $100,000 a year is a return of 5% on it, $150,000 is 7.5%, the rate on the debt, $200,000 is 10% and $250,000 is 12.5%. The debt pays interest only, and the business is sold after five years for what it cost. Where the interest is more than the cash flow, the owners are assumed to pay the difference each year. Losses carry a minus sign and are shown in red.

Source: Threefold Capital illustrative model. The assumptions are set out in the text.

Reading the table

Threefold Capital interpretation

What it shows
When the investment earns exactly what the debt costs, $150,000 a year or 7.5%, the owners earn 7.5% however much is borrowed. Above that, each step of debt adds to their return: at $250,000 a year, borrowing 70% lifts it from 12.5% to 24.2%. Below it, each step subtracts: at $100,000 a year, borrowing 70% turns a return of 5.0% into −0.8%, because the interest of $105,000 is more than the business produces and the owners pay the difference, $25,000 over the five years.
What it means
Debt creates no return of its own. It magnifies the gap between what an asset earns and what the debt costs, in both directions, and the effect grows as the owners' share of the money shrinks. A borrower is betting that the gap stays positive for as long as the debt is outstanding, while the asset's earnings can fall and, on a variable loan, the cost can rise, as it did four times in 2026.5
How to respond
Work out what the whole investment earns without debt, and compare it with the full cost of the debt over its term, fees included. If the margin is thin, or depends on the best year rather than an ordinary one, more debt adds more risk than return.

Debt also destroys value in ways a calculation of returns does not show. It can force a sale at the wrong time, because a lender owed money on an asset worth less wants to be repaid, not to wait for a recovery. It takes cash the business may need for stock, staff or equipment, because loan payments come first. It can move control, because a breach of the loan's terms gives the lender rights over decisions the owners used to make alone. And it costs most when it is needed most: a business that must refinance in a bad year does so on the terms of a bad year, as Part 3 describes. None of this appears in the table above, and we think these costs are the larger part of the decision.

Avoiding debt is no guarantee of safety either. The Reserve Bank notes that around 70% of the companies that entered insolvency in 2024-25 owed nothing to secured creditors, and around 75% had fewer than 20 full-time employees.6 Businesses fail from losses, unpaid tax and unpaid suppliers as well as from bank loans. What borrowing changes is how much room a business has before it reaches that point, and who decides what happens when it does.

The capital structure: who is paid first, and who loses first

A capital structure, often called a capital stack, lists everyone who has put money into an asset in the order they are paid. Money at the bottom of the stack is paid first and lost last; money at the top is paid last and lost first. Each layer's price reflects where it sits: a lender at the bottom accepts a lower rate because others will absorb losses before it does, and the owners at the top accept the first loss in exchange for everything left once the others are paid.

Threefold Capital interpretation

The layers of a capital structure, from the first paid to the last

LayerUsually provided byHow it is paidIf things go wrong
Senior debtA bank or other lenderInterest, often with scheduled repayments of principal. Paid firstCan enforce its security after the notice its agreement requires. A bank that has adopted the Banking Code gives a small business at least 30 days' notice of a missed payment before demanding repayment, with some exceptions
Mezzanine debtA private credit fund or specialist lenderA higher rate, sometimes added to the loan rather than paid, and sometimes a share of any gain. Paid after senior debtUsually limited by its deed with the senior lender until that lender is repaid or agrees
Vendor financeThe seller of the businessPart of the price, paid later, with or without interest. Usually ranks behind the bank under a deedCan pursue what it is owed only as far as its deed with the bank allows
Preferred equityInvestorsA set return before the ordinary shareholders, and its money back before them on a sale. Ranks behind every lenderCannot enforce security. Its rights are those in the company's constitution or the terms of issue, and a dividend may be paid only when the company's assets exceed its liabilities by enough and its creditors are not prejudiced
Ordinary equityThe ownersWhatever is left after everyone elseControls the board and the strategy, until a lender's rights intervene

A general description. The terms of any real layer are set by its own agreement, and the order between lenders by the security each holds and any deed they sign.

Source: Threefold Capital interpretation; Banking Code of Practice, paragraph 82;7 Corporations Act 2001, section 254T8

Reading the table

Threefold Capital interpretation

What it shows
Each layer gives up some of the upside in exchange for protection from the downside. Senior debt takes the least risk and earns the least. Ordinary equity takes the first loss and keeps all of the gain above what the others are owed.
What it means
Every layer's price is a price for its place in the order. Filling the gap between bank debt and equity with mezzanine debt or vendor finance means borrowing someone else's appetite for risk, at a price that reflects how close to the first loss it sits. The cheapest layer on paper is not always the cheapest in practice. Vendor finance at a low rate keeps the seller involved in the business, which can help or hinder, and preferred equity with no fixed repayment can still carry rights that bind the owners.
How to respond
Before comparing structures, list every layer with its cost, its rank and what it can do on a default. The rank and the remedies matter as much as the rate.

Our first model puts these layers together for the same $2 million purchase. The bank lends at 7.5%, the mezzanine lender at 14% and the vendor at 6%, all interest only and repaid from the sale. These rates are our assumptions, not quotes. For context, the cash rate target is 4.60%,5 so the bank's 7.5% sits 2.9 percentage points above it, between the 7.29% that the model in Part 1 builds up from the cash rate for a secured commercial property loan and its 9.39% for an unsecured small business loan. The stretched structure is also one that, in our reading of lenders' published terms, a bank would be unlikely to write: senior debt against a business usually amortises, as the next section shows, and a loan with mezzanine debt behind it would normally bar the owners from taking cash out while cover was as thin as 1.47×. It is in the model to show what happens when the layers are piled high.

Illustrative model

Model: build your capital structure

Each scenario pays for the same $2 million purchase in a different way. Choose one, or set the layers and their rates yourself, then change the value at the sale to see who is repaid.

Without JavaScript the model shows one scenario: Bank debt, 45%.

The investment
$2,000,000
$200,000
5 years
0%
The capital structure
45%
0%
0%
The cost of each layer
7.50%
14.00%
6.00%

Return on the owners' money 12.0%debt 45%

Return on the owners' money, a year
12.0%
Return on the whole investment, a year
10.0%
Cash flow, times the interest
2.96×
Fall in value that wipes out the owners
55%

At a sale for $2,000,000, the bank is repaid first, and the owners receive $1,100,000 for the $1,100,000 they put in.

The owners' money takes the first loss: a fall in value of 55% would wipe it out at sale. Only a larger fall would cost the bank.

Borrowing 45% of the cost turns a return of 10.0% a year on the whole investment into 12.0% on the owners' money.

Build your capital structure

Risk and returnFirst loss, last paidFirst paid, last lossValue at sale$2,000,000, 0% on costThe owners' equity$1,100,000, 55% of costReturn 12.0% a yearSenior bank debt$900,000, 45% of costInterest 7.50%Risk and returnFirst loss, last paidFirst paid, last lossValue at sale$2,000,000, 0% on costThe owners' equity$1,100,000, 55% of costReturn 12.0% a yearSenior bank debt$900,000, 45% of costInterest 7.50%
A simplified illustration, not a recommendation of any structure. All debt pays interest only and is repaid from the sale. The cash flow before interest goes first to the lenders' interest and the rest to the owners each year; if it does not cover the interest, the owners are assumed to pay the difference, and that money counts as theirs put in. Tax, fees and any covenants are left out. At sale, the bank is repaid first, then the mezzanine lender, then the vendor, then the owners. Real agreements set their own order.

Illustrative model

The same purchase, financed five ways

LineAll equityBank debt, 45%Bank and vendor financeBank, mezzanine and vendorStretched, value down 30%
Senior bank debt$0$900,000$900,000$1,200,000$1,200,000
Mezzanine debt$0$0$0$200,000$200,000
Vendor finance$0$0$300,000$300,000$300,000
The owners' money$2,000,000$1,100,000$800,000$300,000$300,000
Interest a year$0$67,500$85,500$136,000$136,000
Cash flow, times the interestn/a2.96×2.34×1.47×1.47×
Cash to the owners a year+$200,000+$132,500+$114,500+$64,000+$64,000
Value at sale$2,000,000$2,000,000$2,000,000$2,000,000$1,400,000
Repaid to the bank$0$900,000$900,000$1,200,000$1,200,000
Repaid to the mezzanine lender$0$0$0$200,000$200,000
Repaid to the vendor$0$0$300,000$300,000$0
To the owners$2,000,000$1,100,000$800,000$300,000$0
Return on the owners' money, a year10.0%12.0%14.3%21.3%2.2%
Return on the whole investment, a year10.0%10.0%10.0%10.0%4.5%
Owners' money back, times1.50×1.60×1.72×2.07×1.07×
Fall in value that wipes out the owners100%55%40%15%15%

Cash flow before interest is $200,000 a year in every scenario, and the business is sold after five years. The last scenario is the stretched structure sold for 30% less than it cost. Amounts are rounded to the nearest $1,000, and interest and cash flow to the nearest $100.

Source: Threefold Capital illustrative model. The assumptions are set out in the text.

Reading the model

Threefold Capital interpretation

What it shows
Moving from all equity to the stretched structure cuts the owners' money from $2,000,000 to $300,000 and lifts their return, if the business sells for what it cost, from 10.0% to 21.3%. The price is thinner cover. Cash flow pays the interest 2.96× with bank debt alone, but only 1.47× in the stretched structure. Sold for 30% less, the stretched structure's $1,400,000 repays the bank and the mezzanine lender in full. The vendor is repaid $0 of its $300,000, and the owners receive $0 from the sale. Their only return is the $64,000 a year they took out along the way: 1.07× what they put in, or 2.2% a year.
What it means
Debt moves losses onto whoever ranks last among those still owed money. With 85% of the cost borrowed, the value can fall 15% before the owners have lost everything, and 40% before the bank loses anything. The owners' loss stops at what they put in, unless they have guaranteed a loan: had they guaranteed the vendor's, its loss in this scenario would have been theirs. The structure also depends on cash flow holding up. Interest takes $136,000 of the $200,000, so a fall of about a third would leave the owners nothing each year.
How to respond
For any structure, find the fall in value that wipes out the equity, the fall that reaches each lender, and the fall in cash flow that leaves nothing after interest. If falls of that size are plausible within the life of the loans, the structure is relying on luck.

The model has no preferred equity. Had the stretched structure included some, it would sit between the vendor and the owners: paid its set return before them and repaid before them on a sale, but behind every lender, so in the 30% fall it too would have received nothing. For the company, preferred equity is easier to live with than mezzanine debt. A missed dividend is not a default, and the law lets a company pay a dividend only when its assets exceed its liabilities by enough, the payment is fair to shareholders as a whole and its creditors are not materially prejudiced (Corporations Act 2001, section 254T),8 a test a lender's interest never waits for. For the investor who holds it, that is exactly its weakness. We believe it should therefore cost the company more than mezzanine debt and less than ordinary equity, compared after tax, since interest is generally deductible and a dividend is not, and that its terms deserve as close a reading as a loan agreement.

From returns to cash: repayments and covenants

The first model lets the debt wait until the sale. Many business loans do not: they require principal to be repaid in instalments over the loan's life, called amortisation, and lenders' published terms tie how much may be borrowed to how soon it is repaid. Macquarie's commercial lending guide for brokers, dated May 2026, allows a loan to an accounting firm to be interest only for its whole term where lending is no more than 2.5 times the firm's earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA), and for no more than two years where it is higher.9 The table in Matching the debt to the asset gives more examples, each a lender's own term with conditions, not a market norm.

Repaying principal is not an expense, so it does not reduce profit. It does use cash: a business can report a healthy profit and still miss its loan payments, because the payments are set by the loan's schedule and the cash by the business. Lenders measure the gap with debt service cover: the cash available for the loan, usually EBITDA less tax paid and often less capital spending and distributions, divided by a year of interest and scheduled principal, with the loan agreement's definition governing. Below 1.00, the business cannot pay the loan from what it produces. Our second model takes cash after tax and the spending the business needs, the stricter measure; the stress tester in Part 5 divides EBITDA itself by the payments, so the same business shows higher cover there. Part 4 sets out the other measures that size a loan.

Banks and the other authorised deposit-taking institutions (ADIs: banks, building societies and credit unions) must look at the same question under stress. Under APRA's credit risk standard, a bank's assessment of a business borrower must consider, where relevant, its capacity to repay under scenarios such as higher interest rates and lower income or cash flows, and must rest "primarily on the strength of a borrower's repayment capacity" rather than on its security (APS 220, paragraphs 42, 45(c) and 46).10 Covenants, promises in the loan agreement such as keeping a ratio above a set level, add a test that runs for the life of the loan. Under the Banking Code of Practice, which binds the banks that have adopted it, called Code banks here, a standard form small business loan may use financial covenants as a trigger for action on a default in two cases: loans for property development, and specialised lending, a list that includes "tailored cash flow lending" (paragraph 91).7 Negotiated and larger facilities are outside this, and covenant defaults are usual there; Part 5 explains how lenders set and test them. The effect is to turn a question about returns into a question about cash: not what the owners will have earned by the end, but whether the business can pay every instalment until then.

Our second model shows the difference. It buys a hypothetical business for $2 million, five times its yearly EBITDA of $400,000, and assumes 60% of those earnings is left as cash for the lenders and the owners, the rest going on tax, equipment and the other spending the business needs to keep running. The debt costs 8% and is repaid in equal instalments of principal over seven years. In the base case, earnings grow 3% a year and the business is sold after five years at the same five times earnings. In the worst case, earnings fall 30% in the first year and stay there, and the business sells at four times earnings.

Illustrative model

Model: leverage, higher returns and higher losses

The four scenarios borrow different shares of the same $2 million price. Compare the base case with the worst case, then change the term of the debt, the rate or the size of the fall.

Without JavaScript the model shows one scenario: Debt 50%.

The business
$2,000,000
$400,000
60%
5 years
The debt
50%
8.00%
7 years
The two cases
+3.0%
−30%
1.00

Base case 18.3%worst case −6.8%

Base case: return on the owners' money, a year
18.3%
Worst case: return on the owners' money, a year
−6.8%
Worst case: money back, times what went in
0.72×
Worst case: lowest debt service cover
0.75×

Borrowing 50% of the price moves the owners' return from 14.5% to 18.3% a year in the base case, and from −0.5% to −6.8% in the worst case.

In the worst case, cash flow falls short of the loan payments, and the owners must put in $160,000 over 5 years to keep the loan current.

In the worst case, the sale returns $834,000 to the owners after the debt is repaid, against $1,965,000 in the base case.

Leverage: higher returns, higher losses

Base case

18.3%a year

Return on the owners' money

Money back, times what went in
2.24×
Lowest debt service cover
1.08×
To the owners at sale
$1,965,000
Extra money put in
None

Worst case

−6.8%a year

Return on the owners' money

Money back, times what went in
0.72×
Lowest debt service cover
0.75×
To the owners at sale
$834,000
Extra money put in
$160,000

Return on the owners' money, by how much is borrowed

−20%−10%0%10%20%30%0%20%40%60%80%Debt, share of the priceReturn a year−6.8%18.3%−20%−10%0%10%20%30%0%20%40%60%80%Debt, share of the priceReturn a year−6.8%18.3%
A simplified illustration, not a forecast or a recommendation. The debt is repaid in equal instalments of principal over the years shown, with interest on the balance. Cash for the lenders and the owners is the share of earnings shown, taken before interest, so the tax saved on interest is not counted; tax on the owners and fees are left out. The business is sold at the end at the same multiple of earnings it was bought for, or in the worst case a lower one, and any debt left is repaid from the sale. A return of -100% means the owners lose everything they put in.

Illustrative model

The same business at four levels of debt, in a base case and a worst case

LineNo debtDebt 30%Debt 50%Debt 70%
The owners' money at the start$2,000,000$1,400,000$1,000,000$600,000
Debt$0$600,000$1,000,000$1,400,000
Base case: return a year14.5%16.3%18.3%21.5%
Worst case: return a year−0.5%−3.4%−6.8%−12.8%
Base case: money back, times1.76×1.97×2.24×2.50×
Worst case: money back, times0.98×0.85×0.72×0.62×
Base case: lowest debt service covern/a1.79×1.08×0.77×
Worst case: lowest debt service covern/a1.26×0.75×0.54×
Worst case: extra money the owners put in$0$0$160,000$560,000
Base case: to the owners at sale$2,251,000$2,080,000$1,965,000$1,851,000
Worst case: to the owners at sale$1,120,000$949,000$834,000$720,000
Worst case: lender's shortfall$0$0$0$0

Returns are a year, over the five years to the sale. Money back counts every dollar the owners put in, including any shortfall they make good, against every dollar that comes back to them. Debt service cover is the cash available divided by a year of interest and principal, at its lowest point; with no debt there is nothing to cover. Amounts are rounded to the nearest $1,000.

Source: Threefold Capital illustrative model. The assumptions are set out in the text.

Reading the model

Threefold Capital interpretation

What it shows
Borrowing more lifts the base case return from 14.5% with no debt to 21.5% with 70%, and lowers the worst case from −0.5% to −12.8%. The base case gains 7.0 percentage points and the worst case loses 12.3. Cover tells the cash story. With 30% borrowed, cash covers the loan payments 1.26× at the lowest point of the worst case. With 50%, cover is 1.08× in the base case and 0.75× in the worst, when the owners must put in $160,000 to keep the loan current and get back 0.72× what they put in. With 70%, the business cannot meet its repayments even in the base case. Cover is 0.77×, and the owners must put in $148,000 if everything goes to plan and $560,000 if it does not, when they get back 0.62× what they put in. In every scenario the lender is repaid in full.
What it means
The 70% structure has the best return in the table and fails a test the return column never shows. Its debt of $1,400,000 is 3.5 times the business's EBITDA, within the maximum Macquarie publishes for some industries, such as up to 3.5 times for healthcare,9 so a lender's published limit says little about what a business can repay on a given schedule. The term matters as much as the amount: repaid over 15 years rather than seven, the same debt is covered 1.17× in the base case, still short of the 1.25 times used as an illustrative covenant below, and with more left to refinance at the sale.
How to respond
Size the debt from the repayment schedule backwards: start with the cash the business produces in a weak year, keep a margin, and let that cash, on the lender's actual terms, set the amount. Only then look at the return.

The two tables below keep the rest of the worst case and change how much is borrowed and how far earnings fall.

Illustrative model

Worst case: return on the owners' money a year, by the share of the price borrowed and the fall in earnings

Fall in earnings
Debt, share of the price0%−15%−30%−45%
0%8.6%4.3%−0.5%−6.0%
30%8.8%3.1%−3.4%−11.4%
50%9.0%1.8%−6.8%−17.9%
70%9.4%−0.5%−12.8%−30.1%

In every column earnings stop growing and the business sells at four times earnings rather than five. Losses carry a minus sign and are shown in red.

Source: Threefold Capital illustrative model. The assumptions are set out in the text.

Reading the table

Threefold Capital interpretation

What it shows
With no fall in earnings, only no growth and a lower sale price, more debt still lifts the worst case return a little, from 8.6% with no debt to 9.4% with 70%. A fall of 15% reverses the order: 4.3% with no debt, −0.5% with 70%. At a fall of 45%, the return on the 70% structure is −30.1% a year.
What it means
The gain from leverage in a flat year is small. The loss in a bad year is large and arrives all at once. That asymmetry is the main thing a borrower is deciding when choosing how much to borrow.
How to respond
Decide in advance which fall in earnings the structure must survive, using the business's own history, and read that column before the column for the plan.

Illustrative model

Worst case: extra money the owners must put in over five years to keep the loan current

Fall in earnings
Debt, share of the price0%−15%−30%−45%
0%$0$0$0$0
30%$0$0$0$2,000
50%$0$26,000$160,000$340,000
70%$200,000$380,000$560,000$740,000

The shortfall each year between the cash the business produces and the loan's interest and principal, added up over the five years to the sale and rounded to the nearest $1,000.

Source: Threefold Capital illustrative model. The assumptions are set out in the text.

Reading the table

Threefold Capital interpretation

What it shows
With 30% borrowed, the owners need to put money in only if earnings fall 45%, and then $2,000. With 50%, a fall of 15% needs $26,000 and a fall of 30% needs $160,000. With 70%, the owners must put money in even if earnings do not fall: $200,000 over five years with no growth, and $560,000 if earnings fall 30%.
What it means
This is money the owners must find while the business is doing badly, which is usually when it is hardest to find, and often when their other income is under pressure too. A structure that needs support in an ordinary year has a second source of repayment built into it, and that source is the owners. Loan agreements usually limit how often the owners may make good a shortfall in this way, so a structure that needs a top-up every year is one most lenders would not let run.
How to respond
Before borrowing, set out where any support would come from, how much is available, and whether it would still be there if the owners' other income fell at the same time.

Where the debt sits: arranging borrowing in an investment company

An investment company with more than one holding decides not only how much to borrow but where the debt sits: at the holding company, in each business, or against a property. The choice sets what each lender can reach if something goes wrong, and so how far one failure can travel. A lender to one company is owed money by that company, and can reach another company's assets only if it has been given a right to them: a guarantee from that company, or security over its assets or shares. A cross-default clause lets a lender treat a default elsewhere in the group as a default on its own loan; a negative pledge stops a company giving security to anyone else without the lender's consent; and all moneys wording makes security given for one loan secure everything that company ever owes the lender. All of these are contractual. The law can reach past a wall between companies in a liquidation, as Structure B explains.

The five structures below, and the holding company borrowing that lenders often propose instead of the second, are illustrations for a hypothetical investment company in its early years, with two or three holdings. They describe choices, not the arrangements of any firm, ours included.

Structure A: all equity

All equity is the simplest structure and the most expensive. The shareholders fund the holding company, which owns each company outright, and no lender appears anywhere. No lender can take anything and no covenant can be breached, but the owners provide the whole price and carry every loss, with no lender's assessment testing the plan before they commit, and the first model shows what it costs them in return. All equity suits, in our view, an investment company's first holdings, while they are small relative to its capital and their cash flows untested, and any holding whose cash flow is too uncertain to carry repayments.

Structure B: debt in each company, with no cross guarantees

Illustrative model

Structure B: each company borrows for itself, with no cross guarantees

A diagram of six parties: Shareholders; Holding company, No borrowing; Company A; Company B. To one side: Lender to A; Lender to B. How they connect:

  1. Shareholders to Holding company Equity
  2. Holding company to Company A Owns 100%
  3. Holding company to Company B Owns 100%
  4. Lender to A to Company A Loan, secured on A only
  5. Lender to B to Company B Loan, secured on B only

No guarantee runs between the companies or from the holding company, so neither lender has a contractual claim beyond the company it lent to.

Source: Threefold Capital illustration

Each company borrows against its own assets and earnings, and no company guarantees another's loans. If Company A defaults, its lender can enforce against A but has no contractual claim on Company B or on the holding company. That wall is the point of the structure, and it has limits of two kinds.

The first is that lenders ask for the wall to come down. A guarantee from the holding company, a director's personal guarantee, or a clause in B's loan that treats A's default as its own would each carry A's problem across, and a bank lending to one company in a group will usually ask for exactly those: a guarantee from the holding company and the directors, often from the other companies too, and it will size and price the loan on the group if it gets them. Structure B is therefore available only where each company can carry its own loan on its own figures, and the price of refusing the guarantees is a smaller loan, a higher margin or a different lender. The wall is strongest with different lenders: one bank lending to both companies will usually document them together, with cross-default, all moneys security and a right of set-off between accounts, unless those are negotiated out. And whatever the holding company has lent to A ranks as an unsecured creditor, usually behind A's lender under a subordination deed, so its exposure to A is its equity plus its loans.

The second is the law. A liquidation can reach past the contractual position. A holding company can be made liable for debts a subsidiary incurred while insolvent, where there were reasonable grounds to suspect it and the holding company or one of its directors was aware of them, or a holding company in its position would be expected to be (Corporations Act 2001, section 588V);11 with the same people on both boards, that is usually the case. A court can also, in some cases, pool the assets of related companies in liquidation (section 579E).12 And directors must not let a company trade while insolvent, a duty ASIC notes applies even to a sole director and shareholder (section 588G).13 The wall stops a lender; it does not stop a liquidator. It is a reason to act early, not a reason to wait.

Debt at the holding company

The other way to borrow for a group is at the holding company itself, which is what a lender to an investment company most often proposes. A lender there is repaid from the dividends and loan repayments the subsidiaries send up, after each subsidiary's own lenders, suppliers, employees and the tax office have been paid, so on its own it sits behind everyone else: structural subordination, lawyers call it. It usually asks for what cures that: guarantees and security from each subsidiary, a mortgage over their shares, and covenants measured across the group. The facility can be larger and cheaper than the sum of B's loans, because it is backed by everything. The price is that there are no walls. A failure anywhere is the holding company lender's business everywhere.

Structure C: the property held apart

Illustrative model

Structure C: the property held apart and leased to the business

A diagram of six parties: Shareholders; Holding company; Operating company; Property company. To one side: Property lender; Business lender. How they connect:

  1. Shareholders to Holding company Equity
  2. Holding company to Operating company Owns 100%
  3. Holding company to Property company Owns 100%
  4. Operating company to Property company Rent, under a lease
  5. Property lender to Property company Loan, registered mortgage
  6. Business lender to Operating company Overdraft, general security
Source: Threefold Capital illustration

The premises sit in a company of their own and are leased to the operating company. The property lender lends against the building and the rent, the business lender against the business, and each sees a clearer risk. A building can usually carry longer debt than a business, because its value does not depend on one team's skill. The weakness is the lease that ties the two together: if the business fails, the property company loses its tenant and the rent its loan was sized on, and lenders price that link. Their lease doc products, which lend on the rent rather than the borrower's full accounts, show how far: the Commonwealth Bank's (CommBank's) Lease Doc loan requires an arm's length lease between independent parties (page undated, read 12 October 2026),1 and Bendigo Bank's lease doc brochure, coded 03/26, a lease to a third party, not a related entity.14 Part 4 sets out both products' terms. A property let to the owners' own business is therefore usually assessed on that business's accounts, like any other loan to it, and often guaranteed by it. Separate ownership is not separate risk when the landlord and the tenant have the same owners.

Structure D: vendor finance in an acquisition

Illustrative model

Structure D: vendor finance in an acquisition, ranking behind the bank

A diagram of four parties: Buyers; Buyer company, Buys the business. To one side: Bank; Vendor. How they connect:

  1. Buyers to Buyer company Equity, $800,000
  2. Bank to Buyer company Senior loan, $900,000
  3. Vendor to Buyer company Vendor loan, $300,000
  4. Buyer company to Vendor Price, less the vendor loan
  5. Vendor and Bank (dashed line) Ranks behind the bank
Source: Threefold Capital illustration, with the amounts in the first model's bank and vendor scenario

The vendor lends part of the price, $300,000 in the first model's bank and vendor scenario, to be repaid from the business over the years after completion, and agrees to rank behind the bank. The model repays it from the sale after five years, longer than most vendor loans run: in practice one is often shorter than the bank's loan, sits beside a deferred or earn-out payment tied to the handover, and the buyer asks for the right to set what it is owed under the warranties against it. For the buyers, vendor finance reduces the equity needed and keeps the seller interested in a good handover. For the vendor, it is a loan to a business it no longer controls, behind a bank that is repaid first: in the model's scenario it is repaid in full unless the value at the sale falls by more than 40%, the point at which the owners' equity is gone, and with a mezzanine lender ahead of it as well, as the opening showed, it can lose everything. Two terms matter most, in our view: what the vendor can do if a payment is missed, which its deed with the bank will usually limit, and whether the buyers have guaranteed it personally.

The illustration is a purchase of the business's assets. Where the company's shares are bought instead, the bank will want security over the company's own assets for a loan that paid for its shares, which the law treats as the company giving financial assistance to buy itself. That is allowed only if it does not materially prejudice the company, its shareholders or its ability to pay its creditors, or its shareholders approve it under the Act's procedure (Corporations Act 2001, sections 260A and 260B).15 It is routine, and the approval takes time, so it belongs in the timetable.

Structure E: private credit for growth

Illustrative model

Structure E: a private credit loan for growth, ranking behind the bank

A diagram of four parties: Shareholders; Operating company, Expanding. To one side: Bank; Private credit fund. How they connect:

  1. Shareholders to Operating company Equity
  2. Bank to Operating company Senior loan, first ranking
  3. Private credit fund to Operating company Mezzanine loan, second ranking
  4. Private credit fund and Bank (dashed line) Intercreditor deed
  5. Operating company and Private credit fund (dashed line) Tighter covenants
Source: Threefold Capital illustration

A private credit fund lends behind the bank to pay for growth the bank will not fund on its own, such as a second site, a new production line or an acquisition. This is one form private credit takes, shown here because it changes the order of payment. In our reading of the market, a business that meets a private credit term sheet in Australia is more likely to meet a senior loan, sometimes the whole facility in place of a bank, at a higher rate and on tighter terms; the Reserve Bank notes that Australian private credit funds "are more exposed to real estate, including construction and development".16 Private credit is a small part of Australian business lending, but it is growing (Part 3 has the figures).17

The two lenders sign an intercreditor deed, which sets who is paid first and what each may do on a default. It usually stops the junior lender enforcing for a set period after a default, lets the bank block interest to it while the bank is unpaid, requires it to hand over anything it receives meanwhile, and lets the bank sell the business free of the junior lender's security. APRA's credit risk standard binds ADIs (APS 220, paragraph 2),10 so a fund that is not one sets its own standards, and the price of its flexibility is more than the rate: tighter covenants, more frequent reporting and often a share of the upside. In the first model's stretched scenario, the mezzanine layer at 14%, almost twice the bank's 7.5%, helps lift the interest bill to $136,000 a year. Growth paid for this way needs the growth to arrive on time.

How the structures compare

Each structure also has tax and duty consequences that this article does not cover and that usually decide the matter as much as risk: whether, and to which company, the interest is deductible; transfer duty when a property changes hands, and landholder duty when a company that holds land does (in New South Wales, under the Duties Act 1997); the treatment of loans between a private company and its shareholders or their other companies (Income Tax Assessment Act 1936, Division 7A); and the capital gains tax position if the structure is changed later. Those are questions for an accountant and a lawyer before a structure is chosen, because a structure that is right on risk can be wrong on tax, and changing it later can cost duty a second time.

Threefold Capital interpretation

The structures compared

StructureEquity neededHow far a failure can reachWhat can undo the protection
A. All equityAll of the priceEach loss stays in its company, but every loss falls on the ownersNothing: there is no lender
B. Debt in each companyLess, company by companyThe company that borrowed, and its lenderA guarantee from the holding company or a director, a cross-default clause, or a liquidator's claim against the holding company for the subsidiary's insolvent trading (section 588V)
Debt at the holding companyLeast, as one facility is sized on the groupEverywhere: the lender is repaid from every company and usually holds guarantees and security from eachNothing to undo: the protection was traded for the facility
C. Property held apartLess, as the property carries its own loanThrough the lease: if the business fails, the property loses its rentA guarantee of the property loan by the operating company or a director
D. Vendor financeLess, by the vendor's shareThe vendor's loan first, once the owners' equity is goneA guarantee of the vendor loan by the buyers
E. Private creditLess, at a higher costBoth lenders, the private lender firstCovenants tight enough to give the lenders control early
Source: Threefold Capital interpretation

Reading the comparison

Threefold Capital interpretation

What it shows
Each structure puts the risk somewhere different. A keeps all of it with the owners. B and C build walls between assets, and debt at the holding company takes the walls down for a larger facility. D and E put more of the price on other people's money, at a cost.
What it means
We believe the walls in B and C are worth more than the extra borrowing in D and E, because they decide whether one bad investment becomes a bad year or a bad decade for the whole company. They are also the easiest protection to give away: one guarantee, signed for a better rate, can take a wall down.
How to respond
Keep a one-page map of every guarantee, cross-default clause and security interest across a group, and check it each time a loan is added, renewed or refinanced.

A minority investment: what the investor can and cannot control

An investor that owns a minority of a company does not decide how much it borrows. The board does, answering to the majority. In the illustration below, an investment company holds 25% of a business whose founders hold the rest, and the business borrows from a bank against its own assets. The percentages are arbitrary; the illustration describes no holding of ours. The investor's equity ranks behind the bank's loan just as the owners' does in our first model, so if the business borrows heavily and fails, the investor's money is lost before the bank's, over a loan it had no say in unless it negotiated one.

Illustrative model

A minority investment: what the investor holds, and what it can ask for

A diagram of four parties: Investment company; Founders; Investee company. To one side: Investee's lender. How they connect:

  1. Investment company to Investee company Equity, 25%
  2. Founders to Investee company Equity, 75%
  3. Investee's lender to Investee company Loan, with security
  4. Investee company and Investment company (dashed line) Information and consent rights
Source: Threefold Capital illustration

What a minority investor can negotiate, usually in a shareholders' agreement or the company's constitution, is information and a veto over the decisions that change the company's risk. Four rights matter most where borrowing is concerned.

  • Information. Regular accounts, the annual budget, the loan agreements and the covenant reports the lender receives, and prompt notice of any breach. Without a contract the position is thin but not empty: shareholders with at least 5% of the votes in a small proprietary company can direct it to prepare a financial report and directors' report for a year and send them to all shareholders, audited if the direction says so (Corporations Act 2001, section 293),18 and ASIC can direct the same; otherwise, as ASIC notes, only some small proprietary companies must lodge financial reports.19
  • Consent over new debt. A limit above which new borrowing, new security, guarantees by the company and changes to existing loans need the investor's approval. We think a limit tied to earnings, such as debt as a multiple of EBITDA, works better than a dollar figure, which stays fixed while the business changes.
  • A seat on the board, or an observer. A seat gives information and a voice, not control, and a director nominated by an investor owes duties to the company, not to the investor: directors must act in good faith in the best interests of the company (Corporations Act 2001, section 181).20
  • A say in new equity. A right to take up new shares before they are offered to anyone else, so that a capital raising to repair the balance sheet does not dilute the investor without an offer.

Two terms sit outside the shareholders' agreement. A lender may ask every large shareholder to guarantee the loan or to mortgage its shares, so the first thing to settle is whether the investor will guarantee debt it does not control; in our view it should not. And loan agreements commonly stop dividends while a covenant is breached or cover is below a set level, so the lender, not the board, can switch the investor's income off. A loan from the investor to the company will usually be subordinated to the bank's as well.

What a minority investor cannot control matters as much. It cannot change the lender's terms or decisions, stop the lender enforcing on a default, or make the majority put in more money when the business needs it. A consent right is a veto, not a plan: it can stop a bad loan but cannot make a good one happen, and set too wide it can hold up a business that needs to move quickly. The line, we think, belongs where a decision changes the company's risk, not where it changes the day-to-day running of the business.

Matching the debt to the asset

The safest debt is repaid by the asset it paid for, within that asset's life, from what the asset earns. The danger is a mismatch in either direction: debt that outlives what it paid for, or debt that falls due before the asset has earned the money.

Threefold Capital interpretation

Matching the debt to what it pays for

What the money pays forDebt that matches itPublished terms, for exampleThe mismatch to avoid
Stock and money owed by customersA facility that rises and falls with trade, reviewed each yearJudo Bank's line of credit has a "12-month term with annual review" (July 2026). Macquarie's business overdraft is repayable on demand (May 2026)Paying for long-lived assets with a facility that can be cut at its review
Equipment and vehiclesA loan repaid over the asset's working life and secured on itNAB says chattel mortgage repayments can be set over "a range of terms, usually two to five years" (page undated, read 12 October 2026)A large final payment that falls due when the equipment is worth little
A business, mostly goodwillA loan repaid from cash flow over a few years, with equity or vendor finance for the restJudo Bank's acquisition loan: up to 100% of acquisition costs, to $15 million, terms up to 15 years, interest only for up to five (June 2026). Macquarie: lending against a rent roll, up to 70% of its value, must amortise to 60% within five years (May 2026)Interest-only debt whose repayment depends on selling or refinancing the business
Property let to tenantsA longer loan sized on the rent and the leaseANZ: terms of up to five years "matched to remaining lease periods" (November 2025). CommBank's Lease Doc loan: up to five years or lease expiry, whichever is shorter (page undated, read 12 October 2026)A loan that falls due as a major lease ends
A developmentA construction loan repaid from the salesLenders' published terms are set out in Part 4Sales that settle after the loan falls due

Each lender's own published terms or maximums on the date shown, with conditions. They are examples, not market norms, and not recommendations of any lender or product.

Source: Threefold Capital interpretation, with lenders' published terms as examples: Judo Bank,21,22 Macquarie,9 NAB,23 ANZ24 and CommBank1

Reading the table

Threefold Capital interpretation

What it shows
Lenders already match their terms to what they finance: facilities reviewed each year for working capital, two to five years for equipment, terms tied to the lease for an investment property, and repayment built into lending against goodwill.
What it means
Most of the danger sits in the gaps. A business acquisition is the hardest case. Goodwill has no fixed life and no value apart from the business, so the debt that paid for it can only be repaid from the business's cash flow or from a sale. A structure that leaves most of that debt to be repaid at a sale or a refinancing is betting on both.
How to respond
For each loan, write down what will repay it and when. If the answer is the next lender, treat the refinancing as part of the plan, with its own date and its own worst case.

Refinancing risk

A loan that is not repaid by its own instalments must be refinanced or repaid when it falls due, on the terms available then, which can be very different from the terms at the start. The cash rate rose four times in 2026, from 3.60% to 4.60%,5 and Part 3 sets out what that has meant for borrowers who need to refinance. For a small business with a loan from a Code bank, if the business is not in default and the loan is not fully repaid by regular instalments, the bank must give at least three months' notice if it will not extend the loan, and if it does extend or refinance, it is "not required to do so on the same terms" (paragraphs 93 and 94).7 Three months is not long to find a new lender in a difficult year, and the Code's small business protections apply only to a business, with its group, inside the Code's limits on turnover, staff and total debt (Part 4 sets them out),7 so a group that borrows more can move outside them.

The longer term that eased the 70% structure in our second model has its own cost here. Repaid over 15 years, the loan leaves $933,000 outstanding at the sale, against $400,000 when it is repaid over seven: easier to carry and larger to clear. We believe a refinancing should be planned as if it will fall in a bad year, with a clear idea of which lender would be asked and what it would want to see.

Covenant headroom

Headroom is the distance between where a covenant ratio stands and where the covenant is set. Our second model measures debt service cover on the cash left after the business's own needs, and with 50% borrowed that cover is 1.08× at its lowest point in the base case. Against an illustrative minimum of 1.25 times applied to this cash measure (the model in Part 5 uses the same level, but divides EBITDA before tax and capital spending by the payments, a more generous test), the structure would be in breach in its first year with nothing gone wrong. Headroom costs money, whether as less debt, a longer term or a higher rate for looser terms. We believe it is worth paying for, because, depending on the loan agreement, a breach can give the lender rights even when every payment has been made, and those rights arrive when the business can least afford them.

Security and guarantees

Security decides what a lender can take, and a guarantee decides who else it can pursue; Part 6 sets out the law. For the structure, two points matter. A general security agreement over all of a company's present and after-acquired property, registered on the Personal Property Securities Register, reaches all of the company's personal property,25 which does not include land.26 Between lenders with perfected security over the same assets, the default rule ranks the earliest registration first (Personal Property Securities Act 2009, section 55, as the register summarises it),27 so a junior lender's place in the stack depends on registration as well as on its deed with the senior lender, which can set an order the register does not.

A director's personal guarantee reaches past the company to the director's own assets, which is why lenders ask for one even when they hold security: CommBank lists a director guarantee among the security for its Lease Doc loan,1 and ANZ says that for its unsecured business loans "a personal guarantee may still be required from all company directors" (page updated 8 October 2026).2 A Code bank will not accept a guarantee until the third day after giving the guarantor the information the Code requires, unless an exception applies (paragraphs 112 and 113).7 We think those days are best used to price the guarantee: its limit, how long it lasts, and what it would cost if called.

Raising equity within the law

Equity is the layer every other layer relies on, and raising it is regulated. Chapter 6D of the Corporations Act 2001 governs fundraising through the issue or sale of securities. A proprietary company, one with no more than 50 shareholders who are not employees, can raise money from its existing shareholders and employees, and from the general public only if the fundraising does not require a disclosure document, such as a prospectus.3 Two exemptions matter most for a private company.28

  • Small scale personal offers. No disclosure document is needed for personal offers of a company's securities if they do not result in securities being issued to more than 20 persons, or in more than $2 million being raised, in any 12 month period (Corporations Act 2001, sections 708(1) to 708(7)).4 A personal offer is one that only the person it is made to can accept, made to someone likely to be interested in it because of previous contact, a professional or other connection, or things they have said or done (section 708(2)); issues under another exemption, under a disclosure document, or to people outside Australia are not counted (section 708(5)). An offer made under this exemption must not be advertised.28
  • Offers to particular investors. Nor is one needed where the offers are made to people "presumed not to need disclosure because of their financial capacity, experience, association with the issuer or wholesale status" (sections 708(8) to 708(12)).28 Each category has its own tests in those sections, which this article does not attempt to summarise.

These are general rules, stated from the Act and ASIC's guidance; whether an exemption applies to a particular offer turns on its facts and is a question for a lawyer. This article is not an offer of shares in Threefold Capital or in any other company, or an invitation to apply for them.

The rules carry a lesson beyond compliance. Equity takes the first loss, so an investor asked to provide it has reason to expect at least the information a lender would receive, including the worst case and the money the owners might have to add. A structure that cannot be explained plainly to a prospective shareholder is unlikely to be explained well to a lender.

The Threefold Capital perspective

The principles below are our views on the use of debt. They describe how we think, not any transaction or policy of the firm, and they are not recommendations to anyone else. Each rests on the models above or on the earlier parts of this series.

  1. Debt should be serviceable from the cash an asset produces in a bad year, which in our models means after a fall of about a third. That fall is what leaves the owners of the first model's stretched structure nothing after interest. In the second model, borrowing 70% of the price gives the best base case return and cannot be repaid from the business's cash even there, while 30% is still covered 1.26× when earnings fall by 30%. Banks must consider a borrower's capacity under higher rates and lower cash flows;10 owners have reason to test harder, because they lose first.
  2. A lender's maximum is not a target. Published maximums, such as up to 100% of acquisition costs21 or several times EBITDA,9 describe what a lender will consider under its conditions, not what a particular business can repay. In our model, debt of 3.5 times earnings fails on cash flow in its base case.
  3. Headroom is worth paying for. A covenant is set against the plan, and a business lives in the range around it: with 50% borrowed in our second model, cover is below an illustrative 1.25 times before anything has gone wrong. Less debt, a longer term or a slightly higher rate for looser terms are each cheaper than a breach, which hands options to the lender at the worst moment.
  4. The structure should let one asset fail without taking the others. Separate companies, separate lenders and no cross guarantees, as in Structure B, keep a failure where it starts, as far as the lenders and the law allow. In our view that wall is worth a higher margin, and it should be defended each time a loan is renewed.
  5. A personal guarantee is equity at risk, and should be counted as money put in. A guarantee turns a company's debt into a director's own, and lenders' pages show how routinely one is asked for.1,2 In our first model's 30% fall, a guarantee of the vendor loan would have turned the vendor's loss of $300,000 into the owners'. Counted as money put in, a guarantee changes both the equity in a structure and the return on it, and anyone asked to give one should know its limit, its term and its cost if called before comparing interest rates.
  6. Debt should be repaid by the asset it paid for, within that asset's life. Lenders' own terms already match short facilities to working capital and lease terms to property. The hard case is goodwill, which nobody will buy apart from the business, so debt against it should be repaid from cash flow rather than left for a sale, which is where the 15-year term in our second model leaves most of it.
  7. Equity should be patient enough to outlast a refinancing cycle. Loans that do not amortise must be refinanced on the terms of the day, and a Code bank need give a small business that is not in default only three months' notice that it will not extend a loan not fully repaid by instalments.7 We believe equity in a borrowed structure should be committed for longer than its debt, and should not depend on a sale in a particular year.
  8. The worst case belongs beside the base case, with the owners' top-ups beside it. In our second model, borrowing 70% rather than 30% lifts the base case return from 16.3% to 21.5%, lowers the worst case from −3.4% to −12.8%, and leaves $560,000 to find along the way. The worst case belongs first in any proposal to borrow, and the money the owners might have to add beside it.

Conclusion

This series began with a single loan and what it costs. Part 1 traced a loan's rate back through the cash rate, the lender's funding and the capital it must hold. Part 2 applied that to the loan most Australians know, the home loan. Part 3 looked at what four rate rises in 2026 have meant for borrowers and lenders. Part 4, Part 5 and Part 6 followed a business loan from the measures that size it, through the decision to make it, to the security behind it and the law that applies when it goes wrong.

This part has taken up the question the others lead to: when, and how, a business or an investor should borrow at all. The answer is the same from both sides of the table. A bank must assess a loan primarily on the borrower's capacity to repay it, without leaning on its security,10 and the owners have more reason than the bank to do the same, because they lose first. Debt adds value when the asset earns more than the debt costs, with room to spare; when its repayments fit the cash the asset produces in a weak year; when its term fits the asset's life; and when the structure keeps one failure contained. It destroys value when any of those fails, and that tends to happen when the borrower can least afford it.

In our view, using debt well is mostly a matter of declining the debt that is offered but not needed. The models in this series are there to make that judgement concrete: change an assumption, see who pays, and decide before a lender has to.

Method and sources

Cut-off. This article uses data, rules and lenders' published terms available on or before 12 October 2026. Lenders' pages were read on that date, and the sections of the Corporations Act 2001 on 13 October 2026.

Sources. Official figures come from the Reserve Bank, prudential rules from APRA's standard APS 220, and the commitments of banks to small businesses and guarantors from the Banking Code of Practice. The Corporations Act points come from the sections named in the text, read in a consolidated text, and from ASIC's guidance where the text says so; the priority rules from the Personal Property Securities Register's summary of the Personal Property Securities Act 2009. Each figure is numbered to its source below.

Lenders' terms. Every lender figure is that lender's own published term or maximum, on its own page, dated as the page is or as we read it, with the lender's conditions; none is a market norm or a recommendation.

Market practice. What lenders usually ask of a group, what an intercreditor deed usually contains, the usual shape of a vendor loan, distribution lock-ups and limits on how often owners may make good a shortfall are described from practice in the Australian market, not from a published source, and any particular agreement can differ.

Our calculations. Where we derive a figure from the models, the text says so, and the arithmetic is here. The $22,500 is the 2.5 percentage point gap between the business's 10% return and the bank's 7.5% rate, on $900,000 of debt; spread over the owners' $1,100,000, it adds 2.05 percentage points, which we call about two. The bank's 7.5% is 2.9 percentage points above the 4.60% cash rate. In the first table, at $100,000 of cash flow and 70% borrowed, interest of $105,000 exceeds the cash flow by $5,000 a year, which over five years is the $25,000 the owners put in. Debt of $1,400,000 is 3.5 times EBITDA of $400,000. In the stretched structure, interest of $136,000 is 68% of the $200,000 cash flow, so a fall of 32%, about a third, would leave nothing for the owners. In the second model, borrowing 70% rather than nothing raises the base case return by 7.0 percentage points, from 14.5% to 21.5%, and lowers the worst case by 12.3, from −0.5% to −12.8%. The lowest debt service cover in the base case falls in the first year, because earnings grow and the loan shrinks after it.

The models. Both businesses are hypothetical, and every setting is our assumption, not a quote, a forecast or an industry average. Each model is written twice, for the page and for the controls, and the two are tested against each other on every scenario and thousands of other settings.

Illustrative model

What the two models assume

ModelSettingAssumption
Capital structureThe purchase$2 million, sold after five years, for what it cost except in the last scenario, where the value is 30% lower
Capital structureCash flow$200,000 a year before interest, the same every year; where it does not cover the interest, the owners pay the difference
Capital structureThe debtBank 7.5%, mezzanine 14% and vendor 6% a year, all interest only and repaid from the sale in that order
Capital structureLeft outTax, fees, covenants and any repayment before the sale
LeverageThe businessBought for $2 million, five times EBITDA of $400,000, with 60% of EBITDA left as cash for the lenders and the owners, and sold after five years
LeverageThe debt8% a year, repaid in equal instalments of principal over seven years, with any balance repaid from the sale
LeverageBase caseEarnings grow 3% a year, and the business sells at five times earnings
LeverageWorst caseEarnings 30% lower from the first year, with no growth, and the business sells at four times earnings
LeverageLeft outTax on the owners, fees and covenants. The share of earnings left as cash is held at 60% whatever the debt, so the model does not credit the borrower with the tax saved on interest, which leans against debt

Every setting can be changed in the models above.

Source: Threefold Capital illustrative models

Labels. Each table, diagram and model carries one of four labels. Reported data: figures published by the source named. Threefold Capital interpretation: our reading of the evidence. Illustrative model: hypothetical figures from our models or illustrations. Forward-looking scenario: a planning case, not a forecast.

Limitations. The models leave out tax, including the deduction a borrower generally gets for interest, which makes debt cheaper after tax than the rates shown and the second model's shortfalls smaller. They also leave out fees, intercreditor terms and the way lenders, owners and customers respond to one another in a downturn, and real structures rarely look as tidy. Where the text relies on a regulator's summary rather than the Act, it says so, and the Act's own wording governs.

Corrections. If you see an error, please tell us at threefoldcapitalau@gmail.com. We correct published articles and record what changed at the top of the page.

Sources

  1. Commonwealth Bank, Lease Doc loan, page undated, read 12 October 2026An arm's length lease between independent parties; a term of up to five years or lease expiry, whichever is shorter; security of a first registered mortgage, a general security instrument and a director guarantee
  2. ANZ, Unsecured business loans, page updated 8 October 2026A personal guarantee may still be required from all company directors
  3. ASIC, Fundraising, updated 20 July 2026Chapter 6D; proprietary companies, with no more than 50 non-employee shareholders, may raise funds from existing shareholders and employees, and from the public only where no disclosure document is required
  4. Corporations Act 2001 (Cth), section 708, Small scale offerings (20 issues or sales in 12 months), AustLII consolidated text read 13 October 2026A personal offer may only be accepted by the person it is made to and is made to someone likely to be interested in it (s 708(2)); the 20 investors ceiling counts people issued securities and the $2 million ceiling the amount raised, each in any 12 month period (s 708(3)); issues under other exemptions, under a disclosure document or not received in Australia are disregarded (s 708(5))
  5. Reserve Bank of Australia, Cash rate targetThe cash rate target of 4.60% from 30 September 2026, and the four rises of 2026 from 3.60%
  6. Reserve Bank of Australia, Financial Stability Review, October 2026, Resilience of Australian households and businessesCompanies entering insolvency in 2024-25: around 75% had fewer than 20 full-time employees and around 70% owed nothing to secured creditors
  7. Australian Banking Association, Banking Code of Practice, effective 28 February 2025Notice of a missed payment (paragraph 82); financial covenants in small business loans (paragraph 91); notice of a decision not to extend, and no obligation to keep the same terms (paragraphs 93 and 94); the guarantor's waiting period (paragraphs 112 and 113); the definition of a small business (Part E)
  8. Corporations Act 2001 (Cth), section 254T, Circumstances in which a dividend may be paid, AustLII consolidated text read 13 October 2026A company must not pay a dividend unless its assets exceed its liabilities by enough to pay it, the payment is fair and reasonable to shareholders as a whole, and it does not materially prejudice the company's ability to pay its creditors
  9. Macquarie Business Banking, Commercial lending guide for brokers, May 2026Industry lending limits of 2.0 to 4.5 times EBITDA, including up to 3.5 times for healthcare; interest only for accounting firms tied to the multiple; rent roll lending; a business overdraft repayable on demand
  10. Australian Prudential Regulation Authority, Prudential Standard APS 220 Credit Risk Management, in force from 1 January 2023Application to authorised deposit-taking institutions (paragraph 2); repayment capacity first (paragraph 42); scenarios including higher rates and lower cash flows, and covenants (paragraphs 45(c), 45(e) and 46)
  11. Corporations Act 2001 (Cth), section 588V, When holding company liable, AustLII consolidated text read 13 October 2026A holding company contravenes the section where its subsidiary incurs a debt while insolvent, there are reasonable grounds to suspect it, and the holding company or one of its directors is aware of those grounds or a holding company in its position would be expected to be
  12. High Court of Australia, Morgan v McMillan Investment Holdings Pty Ltd, S119/2023, judgment 11 September 2024Pooling orders for a group of companies in liquidation are made under Corporations Act s 579E, subject to its preconditions
  13. ASIC, Experiencing financial difficulty, September 2026The duty to prevent insolvent trading under Corporations Act s 588G applies even to a sole director and shareholder
  14. Bendigo Bank, Lease Doc Lending brochure, coded 03/26Lease must be to a third party, not a related entity; servicing on rental income only
  15. Corporations Act 2001 (Cth), section 260A, Financial assistance by a company for acquiring shares in the company or a holding company, AustLII consolidated text read 13 October 2026A company may financially assist a person to acquire its shares only if the assistance does not materially prejudice the company, its shareholders or its ability to pay its creditors, is approved by shareholders under s 260B, or is exempted under s 260C
  16. Reserve Bank of Australia, Financial Stability Review, October 2026, Financial Stability AssessmentAustralian private credit funds "are more exposed to real estate, including construction and development"
  17. Reserve Bank of Australia, Financial Stability Review, October 2026, Resilience of the Australian financial system, Box: Private credit in AustraliaPrivate credit around 10% of total business debt and less than 2% of financial system assets on the largest estimates, and grown significantly over the past decade
  18. Corporations Act 2001 (Cth), section 293, Small proprietary company, shareholder direction, AustLII consolidated text read 13 October 2026Shareholders with at least 5% of the votes may direct the company to prepare a financial report and directors' report for a financial year and send them to all shareholders, and may require an audit; the direction must be given within 12 months of the year's end
  19. ASIC, Company financial reports, updated 2 October 2026Only some small proprietary companies must lodge financial reports, including those whose shareholders or ASIC direct them to
  20. ASIC, Managing your director obligations, August 2026Directors must act in good faith in the best interests of the company, Corporations Act s 181
  21. Judo Bank, Acquisition Loan, page updated 1 June 2026Up to 100% of acquisition costs, to $15 million; terms up to 15 years; interest only for up to five years
  22. Judo Bank, Business lending, page updated 23 July 2026Line of credit: a 12-month term with annual review
  23. NAB, Chattel mortgage, page undated, read 12 October 2026Chattel mortgage repayments usually over two to five years
  24. ANZ, Commercial property made simple with ANZ support, 21 November 2025Commercial property investment terms of up to five years matched to remaining lease periods (broker channel)
  25. Personal Property Securities Register, All present and after-acquired property (AllPAAP)A registration covering all personal property in which the grantor has an interest, at registration and after
  26. Personal Property Securities Register, About the PPSRPersonal property does not include land or fixtures
  27. Personal Property Securities Register, Which security interest has priority?The default priority rules under the Personal Property Securities Act 2009 s 55, as the register summarises them
  28. ASIC, Disclosure documents to be provided to potential investors when raising funds, updated 20 January 2026The two exemptions as ASIC summarises them; "You must not advertise the offer when you rely on this exemption"; offers to people "presumed not to need disclosure" (s 708(8) to (12))

General information only, current at 12 October 2026. It is not financial, credit, tax or legal advice and does not take into account anyone's objectives, financial situation or needs. The rules described are simplified, and what applies in any particular case depends on the documents and the facts. Threefold Capital does not provide credit assistance and is not a lender. It is not an offer or an invitation to invest. The models are illustrations, not forecasts or quotes, and the views are the firm's own.

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